{"url":"https://nivawealth.com/firms/strategic-probability-partners-174441","iapdUrl":"https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/174441","regulatoryAum":138649352,"crd":"174441","adviserRoster":{"asOf":"2026-10-09","items":[{"crd":"2778068","suffix":null,"lastName":"SUTHERLAND","firstName":"CRAIG","middleName":"R."}],"total":1,"loadedAt":"2026-10-10T00:20:19.761928+00:00","sourceUrl":"https://reports.adviserinfo.sec.gov/reports/CompilationReports/IA_INDVL_Feed_10_09_2026.xml.zip"},"history":[{"filedOn":"2023-03-31","regulatoryAum":106693213,"clients":12,"employees":3,"offices":1},{"filedOn":"2024-03-22","regulatoryAum":123129238,"clients":12,"employees":3,"offices":1},{"filedOn":"2025-03-27","regulatoryAum":125839054,"clients":9,"employees":3,"offices":1},{"filedOn":"2026-03-24","regulatoryAum":138649352,"clients":8,"employees":2,"offices":1}],"secFileNumber":"801-126516","legalName":"Strategic Probability Partners, LLC","displayName":"Strategic Probability Partners","slug":"strategic-probability-partners-174441","website":"https://strategicprobabilitypartners.com/","classification":{"segment":"individuals","segmentLabel":"Wealth management","type":"independent_wealth_manager","typeLabel":"RIA","feeDisclosure":"full"},"linkedinUrl":"https://www.linkedin.com/company/strategic-probability-partners-llc","founded":null,"organization":"Florida limited liability company","fiscalYearEnd":"December","headquarters":{"street":"","city":"","state":"","stateName":"","country":"","postalCode":null},"tradeNames":[],"registration":{"secApproved":"7 September 2022","noticeFilings":null,"latestNoticeFiling":null},"wealthAumPerClient":null,"staff":{"employees":2,"advisory":2,"brokerDealerReps":0,"insuranceAgents":0,"promoters":0},"aum":{"regulatory":138649352,"discretionary":83034695,"discretionaryAccounts":20,"nonDiscretionary":55614657,"nonDiscretionaryAccounts":6,"wrapProgram":null,"nonUsClientsPct":0,"nonAumClients":1},"clientTypes":[{"label":"Individuals (other than HNW)","clients":2,"fewerThan5":true,"regulatoryAum":1077192},{"label":"High-net-worth individuals","clients":6,"regulatoryAum":137572160}],"feePrograms":[{"role":"main","program":"Direct Investment Management","feeBasis":"marginal","fee_tiers":[{"to":5000000,"pct":0.75,"from":0},{"to":7500000,"pct":0.5,"from":5000000},{"to":10000000,"pct":0,"from":7500000},{"to":20000000,"pct":0.4,"from":10000000},{"to":50000000,"pct":0.25,"from":20000000},{"to":null,"pct":0.2,"from":50000000}],"sourceUrl":"https://files.adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD/Content/Common/crd_iapd_Brochure.aspx?BRCHR_VRSN_ID=1025035","versionId":1025035,"ratePeriod":"annual","fee_billing":"arrears","submittedOn":"2026-03-24","documentName":"DISCLOSURE BROCHURE 2A + 2B","fee_rate_low":0,"fee_rate_high":0.75,"fee_negotiable":true,"minimum_account":null,"feeMinimumPeriod":"annual","fee_minimum_annual":37500}],"brochureCoverage":{"scope":"sec_inventory","status":"reviewed","checkedAt":"2026-10-22T15:06:27.954275+00:00","documents":[{"name":"DISCLOSURE BROCHURE 2A + 2B","status":"read","sourceUrl":"https://files.adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD/Content/Common/crd_iapd_Brochure.aspx?BRCHR_VRSN_ID=1025035","versionId":1025035,"submittedOn":"2026-03-24"}]},"custodians":[{"name":"Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.","shortName":"Charles Schwab","location":"San Francisco, CA","smaAssets":103201187}],"custodyNote":"Strategic Probability Partners does not have custody of client assets.","otherCustodians":[],"leadership":[{"name":"David Bruce Williams","title":"Chief Operating Officer","crd":""},{"name":"Craig Sutherland","title":"Managing Member and Chief Compliance Officer","crd":"2778068"},{"name":"Lori Sutherland","title":"Office Manager - Retired 11/01/2025","crd":"2875634"}],"ownership":[{"label":"Craig Sutherland","detail":"Managing member and chief compliance officer in the 75% or more ownership band and a control person, since November 2014."}],"branchOffices":null,"filedOffices":{"otherThanPrincipal":0,"privateResidences":0},"listedOfficeAddresses":1,"foreignOffices":[],"officesByState":[],"advFacts":{"source":{"file":"ia100226.zip","asOf":"2 October 2026"},"telephone":"305-619-3566","stateRegisteredReps":1,"otherAdviserReps":0,"compensation":["A percentage of assets under management"],"activities":["Portfolio management for individuals and/or small businesses","Other"],"financialPlanningClients":null,"assetMix":[{"label":"Exchange-traded equity securities","percent":23},{"label":"U.S. government/agency bonds","percent":2},{"label":"U.S. state and local bonds","percent":1},{"label":"Securities issued by registered investment companies or business development companies","percent":73},{"label":"Cash and cash equivalents","percent":1}],"privateFunds":0},"sources":{"adv1FilingDate":"24 March 2026","adv1Url":"https://reports.adviserinfo.sec.gov/reports/ADV/174441/PDF/174441.pdf","brochureDate":"24 March 2026","brochureUrl":"https://files.adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD/Content/Common/crd_iapd_Brochure.aspx?BRCHR_VRSN_ID=1025035","iapdCompiledDate":null,"retrievedDate":"15 October 2026","retrievedOn":"2026-10-15","updatedOn":"2026-10-22","holdingsUpdatedOn":"2026-10-21","adv1Pages":{},"brochurePages":{}},"otherBusiness":[],"faq":[{"question":"How many clients does Strategic Probability Partners have?","answer":"Strategic Probability Partners has 8 clients and manages $139 million for them, as of March 2026. They include 6 high-net-worth individuals and 2 individual clients.","source":"Form ADV Part 1A, Items 5.D and 5.F, filed 24 March 2026","sourceRef":{"doc":"adv1","section":"employees"}},{"question":"What services does Strategic Probability Partners offer?","answer":"Strategic Probability Partners provides portfolio management for individuals and small businesses.","source":"Form ADV Part 1A, Item 5.G, from the SEC's 2 October 2026 data file","sourceRef":{"doc":"adv1","section":"employees"}},{"question":"How much does Strategic Probability Partners charge?","answer":"Strategic Probability Partners charges 0.00%–0.75% a year for its Direct Investment Management. Each asset band is charged at its own rate. The fee is billed in arrears, is negotiable and has a $37,500 annual minimum.","source":"DISCLOSURE BROCHURE 2A + 2B, filed 24 March 2026","sourceRef":{"doc":"brochure","section":"fees"}},{"question":"Which custodians does Strategic Probability Partners use?","answer":"Strategic Probability Partners’ separately managed account assets are held at Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (San Francisco, CA), with $103M. Only custodians holding at least a tenth of those assets are named.","source":"Form ADV Part 1A, Schedule D, Section 5.K.(3), filed 24 March 2026","sourceRef":{"doc":"adv1","section":"custodians"}},{"question":"How many financial advisors does Strategic Probability Partners have?","answer":"Strategic Probability Partners has 1 investment adviser representative registered with state securities authorities, out of 2 employees, and 2 perform investment advisory functions. None are registered representatives of a broker-dealer or licensed insurance agents.","source":"Form ADV Part 1A, Items 5.A and 5.B, from the SEC's 2 October 2026 data file","sourceRef":{"doc":"adv1","section":"employees"}},{"question":"What does Strategic Probability Partners invest in?","answer":"At the end of its last fiscal year, Strategic Probability Partners’ separately managed accounts held 73% registered funds (mutual funds, ETFs, BDCs), 23% exchange-traded equities, 2% U.S. government and agency bonds, 1% state and local bonds and 1% cash and equivalents.","source":"Form ADV Part 1A, Items 5.K.(1) and 7.B, from the SEC's 2 October 2026 data file","sourceRef":{"doc":"adv1","section":"employees"}},{"question":"Who owns Strategic Probability Partners?","answer":"Strategic Probability Partners’ direct owner is Craig Sutherland (75% or more).","source":"Form ADV Part 1A, Schedules A and B, filed 24 March 2026","sourceRef":{"doc":"adv1","section":"scheduleA"}},{"question":"How does Strategic Probability Partners get paid?","answer":"Strategic Probability Partners is paid through a percentage of assets under management. Its Form ADV lists no commissions or performance-based fees among how it is paid.","source":"Form ADV Part 1A, Item 5.E, from the SEC's 2 October 2026 data file","sourceRef":{"doc":"adv1","section":"employees"}},{"question":"How do I contact Strategic Probability Partners?","answer":"Its phone number is 305-619-3566. Its website is strategicprobabilitypartners.com.","source":"Form ADV Part 1A, Item 1.F, filed 24 March 2026","sourceRef":{"doc":"adv1","section":"offices"}}],"holdings":null,"notice":"Compiled from public SEC Form ADV filings on the dates in `sources`. Facts as filed; not a rating, ranking, or recommendation. Niva is not affiliated with this firm. Disciplinary history is deliberately not included here or on the page; the SEC publishes the complete record at the `iapdUrl` above."}